CapitalHeight Performance Weekly 29th January- 2nd February 2018

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Valuable Stock for 2018- Aban OffshoreLimited (AOL)

Aban OffshoreLimited (AOL) was established in the year 1986 by M.A. Abraham, India's largest offshore drilling contractor in the private sector and ISO 9001:2000 accredited company offering world-class drilling and oil field services for offshore exploration and production of hydrocarbons to the oil industry in India and abroad. AOL currently possesses twenty offshore drilling and production units, it owns and operates several offshore drilling rigs, drill ships, and a floating production facility, 'Tahara'. The services offered by the company are Exploratory Services, Drilling Services, Production of hydrocarbons and Manning and management. Aban Offshore Ltd provides offshore drilling & production services to companies engaged in exploration, development & production of oil & gas both in domestic & international markets. It also owns & operates wind turbines for generation of wind power. Mission  
  • The Company will be recognized as global leaders, by offering our clients superior service, including experienced, suitable trained and motivated personnel, superiors, reliable and efficient equipment with environmentally-friendly operations. 
  • The Company will achieve leadership status by actively encouraging our employees to attain the highest standards of the ethics, honesty and integrity. 
  • The Company will foster pride, enthusiasm, creativity and team work to ensure trust and confidence in our employees, clients and suppliers. 
  • The Company will actively grow Aban through financial discipline and cost-effective asset management to deliver superior returns to our clients and shareholders. 
The Company will actively support and emphasize ‘zero tolerance’ to unsafe working practices and conditions, by utilizing and implementing the best industry standards in our operations at all times. 

Fundamental Analysis 
The Company reported an EBIDTA of Rs. 9,270.70 million but a net loss of Rs. 10,578.54 million. The fact that the Company stayed EBIDTA-positive in a difficult environment validates that Aban Offshore still remains one of the most cost-competitive rig service providers in the world. Until then, the Company will seek to strengthen its business model and increase its profitability. The biggest profitability driver of rig service providers is the price of crude oil. The higher the oil price, the better the viability of oil exploration and processing companies, the greater their reinvestment into drilling and the greater their need to lease drilling rigs from service providers. In this context, the one big development during the year under review was a substantial rebound of the international crude oil price from a low of around US$28 per barrel to the prevalent US$50 per barrel. However, it indicate that this substantial recovery was not mirrored in an improvement in rig rentals. 
  • Global growth was projected to slow to 3.1% in 2016 (before recovering to 3.4% in 2017). This reflected a subdued outlook following the Brexit referendum and weaker-than-expected growth in the US. 
  • Investments, which are readily realizable and intended to be held for not more than 6 months from the date on which such investments are made, are classified as current investments. All other investments are classified as non-current investments. 
  • India’s economic growth was indicated at 6.6% for FY 2017, down from 7.6% recorded in the FY 2016. The principal development of the year was the country’s currency demonetisation, affecting growth by 100 bps. In the recent past, India’s performance has been backed by policy reforms,attracting investments. 
  • Commodity markets were volatile through 2016. The year began on a disappointing note with crude oil prices plummeting to a multi-year low of ~US$30 per barrel due to a demand supply mismatch. 
Technical Analysis 
The stock recovered from its monthly support level of 161, it has touched this low in August 2017. Since then the stock recovered nearly 35 percent. The stock is in tight consolidation range since last 7 to 9 weeks forming a channel line pattern. If we draw a Fibonacci Retracement from the Monthly low 142.55 made in February 2016 to the all-time of 5416 it is observed that it has recovered from 50.50% of this swing. A strong break out of double bottom chart pattern is expected this month with high volume. 
  • Break out of the higher low higher high pattern is confirmed above 210 
  • 100 day EMA also formed and strong resistance near 230 on daily chart and hence break out above this resistance is expected to be powerful 
  • It may face a resistance of weekly trend line drawn from its life-time highs, the resistance would be around 230. 
  • RSI on Weekly chart also near 50 and if moves above it will confirms the break out 
  • 230-232 is the key support and should not be breached, further 200 and 190 is the 2nd key support. 
Supports and Resistance (Monthly) 
  • Resistance 1- 452 Supports 1- 228 
  • Resistance 2- 366Support 2- 176 
  • Resistance 3- 314Support 3- 140 
Aban OffshoreLimited (AOL) Weekly Chart
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Earning Calendar for January 2018- Jindal Stainless Ltd

Jindal Stainless Ltd is an ISO: 9001, ISO: 14001 and OHSAS 18001 certified company, is the flagship company of the Jindal Organization. The Company today, has come a long way from its incorporation in 29th September of the year 1980 as Jindal Ceramics Limited. The Company is India's largest stainless steel manufacturer with integrated melting, hot rolling and cold rolling facilities. The company produce standard and specialty stainless steel, in each of the 200, 300 and 400 series grades, for Kite ware, commercial and industrial applications. The company manufactures and sells a broad range of stainless steel flat products including slabs, blooms, flat bars, hot rolled and cold rolled coils, plates and sheets and special products including, precision strips and coin blanks. The Hisser plant of the Jindal Group was established in 1975 when Shri O.P Jindal envisioned a self-reliant India for meeting its stainless steel demand. Stainless steel then was no less than a luxury metal and India was completely dependent on imports to fulfill its demand which attracted duties of up to 300%. 
The Company received approval from the Orissa Industrial and Infrastructure Development Corporation Limited (OIIDCO) on 24th September, 2016 with respect to transfer / right to use the land on which Hot Strip Mill (HSM) and Coke Oven Plant is located from the Company to Jindal United Steel Limited and Jindal Coke Limited respectively and consequent thereupon, Sections III and IV of the Scheme became operative with effect from the Appointed date close of business hours before midnight of 31/March/2015 and accordingly effect of the same has been given in the financial results of the Company during the financial year 2015-16. 
  • The Company has been able to improve its performance significantly during the year 2017-18 despite the adverse global position of Stainless Steel industry. 
  • The company had clocked Rs 53 crore profits after tax for the same quarter in the previous year, it said in a BSE filing. 
Fundamental Analysis 
Jindal Stainless (Hisser) has a market capitalization of 5648.20 crore and turnover of 6,311.02crore.The above financial results of the Company for the year ended 31st March, 2016 are not comparable with the financial results for the year ended 31st March, 2015 as the financial results for FY 2015-16 have been revised to give effect to the terms of Sections III and IV of the Scheme of Arrangement (“Scheme”) amongst the Company, Jindal Stainless (Hisser) Limited, Jindal United Steel Limited and Jindal Coke Limited which was approved by the Hon’ble High Court of Punjab and Haryana at Chandigarh vide its order dated 21st September, 2015 (as modified on 12th October, 2015). The certified copy of the said order was filed with the office of the Registrar of Companies on 1st November, 2015 
Foraying into Uncharted Routes 
  • 350 liter capacity Stainless Steel fuel tanks being commercialized by Ashok Leyland. 
  • Stainless steel fuel tanks being developed by Volvo Eicher Commercial vehicles. Stainless Steel fuel tanks being developed for Tata Motors for export vehicles. 
  • With the implementation of BS 4 emission norms, the particulate matter and NOX emissions in commercial vehicles have to be reduced by 50% each from the BS 3 levels 
  • The Company has in place adequate internal financial controls with reference to financial statements. During the year, such controls were tested and no reportable material weakness in the design or operation was observed. 
  • The Company has been able to improve its performance significantly during the year 2015-16 despite the adverse global position of Stainless Steel industry. 
  • The Company has already embarked on the journey of digitization. The achievements of IT and SAP in 2015-2016 is earmarked for its effort and contribution in making smooth transition of the transactions and processes according to the business restructuring. 
Technical Analysis 
The break out of rounding bottom pattern is expected above 240. The stock showing higher low higher high chart pattern daily and Weekly chart.Stock has jumped by more than 15% in last One Month from its lowest level of 196.9 dt 13-Dec-17. The stock is making strong moves on recent weekly chart. Such movements may give an opportunity for short term trading. Volume is used to confirm strength in current trend and is an indicator to identify trend reversal. Any price trend supported with volume movement is considered as reliable. The higher the volume the bigger market participation is which means a larger mass is validating price movement and it will take much stronger news to change the direction of the trend. 
  • 21 day EMA works as a strong support and stock is likely to bounce back if it fell down on 21 day EMa 
  • 130 is the strong support level and should be hold buy the stock in order to continue strong up trend. 
Buy Jindal Stainless (Hisar) above 235 is recommended and watch for the break out above 241, if it breaks then add more shares and wait for the target of 280-320, it may achieve till the end of the Quarterly month. 
Supports and Resistance (Monthly) 
  • Resistance 1- 462 Supports 1- 188 
  • Resistance 2- 357 Supports 2- 124 
  • Resistance 3- 293 Supports 3- 60
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Profitable Stock for 2018 Recommended from CapitalHeight – JUST DAIL

JUSTDIALLtd along with its subsidiaries provides local search & related services to users in India & in USA through multiple platforms including the internet, mobile internet, over the telephone & text. It also provides administrative support services.Just Dial Limited was incorporated in India with limited liability by shares on December 20 1993. The Company provides local search and related services to users in India through multiple platforms such as the internet mobile internet over the telephone (voice) and text (SMS). 
  • Just Dialalong with its subsidiaries provides local search has surged 10% to Rs 548 on the National Stock Exchange in noon deals, extending its Friday’s 9% surge, 
  • Just dial as part of its regular business, does meet various relevant corporates for exploring any business/strategic opportunities and tie-ups. 
  • Just Dial gained nine per cent to close at Rs 500.3 a share on the BSE, after a report published in Business Standard on Friday said Google was in talks with the local service listing provider to acquire it. 

Mission 
  • Mobile - JD (Just dial) app, JD Lite app, and mobile site (t.justdial.com). 
  • Desktop / PC – www.justdial.com 
  • Voice /Sms - 8888888888 

Fundamental Analysis CapitalHeight 
The company started offering local search services in 1996 under the Just dial brand and is Small cap stock now the leading local search engine in India. Its official website www.justdial.com was launched in 2007. In early trade, the stock rose 20 per cent to Rs 549.8 a share. But, pared some of the gains after Just Dial told stock exchanges: Operating cash flow is a better metric of a company's financial health for two main reasons. Cash flow is harder to manipulate than net income (although it can be done to a certain degree). Second, "cash is king", a company that does not generate cash over the long term is on its deathbed. Investors can avoid a lot of bad investments if they analyze a company's operating cash flow. 
  • Increase in operating revenue during the year to GDP would grow by 10 percentage points by 2020. 
  • The Company has increase industry revenue every Quarterly Results. 
  • Watch the overall performance of revenue and profit, needless to say you should invest in a company whose numbers are going up. 
  • The change in shareholding as compared to last quarter, Promoters shareholding%, persons holding more than 1% shares of the company. 
  • The total revenues during the year increased 7.8% from 7,476.85 mn in FY 2015-16 to 8,056.73 mn in FY 2016- 17. Operating revenue during the year increased 7.6% from 6,676.56 mn in FY 2015-16 to 7,186.10 mn in FY 2016-17. 
  • Operating EBITDA, adjusted for non-cash and one-time expenses, and PAT margins for the year stood at 17.5% and 15.1%, respectively, compared to 25.6% and 19.1%, respectively, in the previous year. 

Technical Analysis CapitalHeight 
Just Dial is one of the leading local search engines in India. It provides users search services with information and user reviews from its database of local businesses, products and services across India. It gained nearly 140-165 points or nearly 30-40 percent from 550 to 750 since the last week of JAN 2018. In the last week it has given strong break out levels of 600-615 resistance level on weekly chart and Monthly chart. 
  • The stock has formed long-term double bottom pattern on weekly chart, the target of the pattern is approx. 150-180 point.
  • The stock has break PARABOLIC SAR indicator show buying Weekly chart.
  • It also breaks last 9 weeks volume highs and that confirms the break out 
  • ADX also signals start of an uptrend with crossover 
  • 615 was the earlier monthly resistance but the stock breached that and made a high of 650 
  • The stock closed near 565 and strong buying is expected above 580 
  • The Lot size for Just dial in derivatives is 1200 and stock may turn a jackpot for derivative traders so it is highly recommend for futures contract 

Buy Just dialJanuary futures around 650-670 target 630-680 Stop loss below 475 holding period till financial year. 

Supports and Resistance (Monthly) 
  • Resistance 1- 999Support 1- 512
  • Resistance 2- 805 Support 2- 413 
  • Resistance 3- 706 Support 3- 219

JUST DIAL WEEKLY CHART CapitalHeight
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2018-A year of Pause or Persistence!

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The last year 2017 was really successful and profitable for the Indian Stock Market. This time we can say neither any cricketer nor any movie broke so many records than that our Indian Stock market did. More than 100 stocks listed in stock exchanges proved to be a million dollar stock with stupendous returns. Only Kohli and Baahubali were the record breaks but in terms of stocks we cannot count them of fingers. We can put just examples here like HEG Limited, The price of this stock on 2nd January 2017 was 147 and on 29th December 2017 the price went to 2336 closed on all-time peak, the return was 1489% isn’t it believable. There are so many Maha Baahubali stocks outperformed in 2017. 

NSE’s Benchmark Index Nifty 50 closed as a Marubozu on 2017 yearly candle, technically reflects highly bullish market.The impressive equity market returns and low levels of volatility in 2017 certainly took many by surprise, with global economic data beating expectations by the widest margin since 2010. Now Is 2018 more surprising than 2017 or it will take a pause in a bull run? What history says is after every yearly marubozu Nifty has taken pause or rise in a shallow range. It means in 2018 market again accumulates and take a breath!. Certainly the answer is not sure? 

The Wall Street bank Goldman Sachs recently forecast about U.S. Stock market for 2018 and it says the market remains bullish and S&P 500 expected to rise 11% in 2018.The much awaited U.S. tax bill is likely to pass in the early 2018. The success (or failure) of the tax bill will have a significant impact on corporate earnings growth in 2018. If the statutory corporate tax rate is cut from 35% to 21%, the calculations suggest that S&P 500 earnings could grow by 13% next year. But its history also forecasts 2018 as a year with small gains with correction. 

The interesting scenario in Indian market is that number of new traders and investors rising extensively in the last couple of months and in 2018 this figure will surely break records. Government reforms may also take pace as 2018 is the last Year for ruling party BJP to perform as Lok Sabha Elections will be held in the 1st half of 2019. The history may reflects a pause or small gain in 2018 but we cannot deny unexpected returns.